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比较希腊捷克经济

已有 89 次阅读2022-10-3 20:28 |个人分类:全球化

比较希腊和捷克经济   Compare Greek and Czech economy. 

Greeces economic crisis is over only if you dont live there - The Washington PostWashington Post › 2018/04/26

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_the_Czech_Republic

Country comparison Czech Republic vs Greece 2018 ...CountryEconomy.com › compare › greece

https://www.destatis.de/Europa/EN/Country/Comparison/GER_EU_Compared.html

http://m.3kr.com/guoji/104641.html


当然希腊不能与捷克相提并论,因为希腊没有Moses尽管几年前破产后,最近希腊经济正在好转。 希腊经济的前景因重大下行风险而蒙上阴影。 IMF贷款项目实施过程中持续存在的问题可能导致希腊债务减免暂停,同时伴随着对信心, 增长,债务可持续性,流动性以及对希腊脱欧风险的看法的影响。但即使希腊的调整计划按计划推进,仍有风险,即国际货币基金组织工作人员对该国的中长期宏观经济预测可能无法实现。原因包括希腊高基准预算盈余对经济增长的实际影响低于预期,产出缺口低于预期,财政和结构改革收益减少,或者稳定银行业和取消资本管制的时间更长。欧洲经济复苏的外部风险低于预期可能会损害希腊的出口和增长。从好的方面来看,希腊当局可能会通过一次性措施或削减支出暂时超过其短期财政目标。

 

Of course Greece can't match Czech, because Greece does not have Moses. Even though after the bankruptcy a few years ago, recently Greece economy is getting better. The outlook for the Greek economy is clouded by significant downside risks. The continued existence of problems in the implementation of IMF loan projects may lead to the suspension of debt relief for Greece, accompanied by the impact on confidence, growth, debt sustainability, liquidity, and the perception of the risks of Greece's Brexit. But even if Greece's adjustment program goes ahead as planned, there is still a risk that IMF staff's medium- and long-term macroeconomic forecasts for the country may not be fulfilled. The reasons include a lower than expected real impact of Greece's high base budget surplus on economic growth, lower-than-expected output gaps, smaller fiscal and structural reform gains, or a longer effort to stabilize the bank Industry and removal of capital controls. Weaker than expected external risks from Europe's economic recovery could hurt Greece's exports and growth. On the upside, the Greek authorities may temporarily exceed their short-term fiscal targets through one-off measures or spending cuts.


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